“An Exceptional Winter” Accompanies This Year’s Ramadan… and the Reality Behind Potential Heat Waves

Cairo – Maii Abdo:

As preparations intensify to welcome the holy month of Ramadan and streets shimmer with lanterns and festive decorations, attention turns skyward.

For many observing the fast, monitoring temperature trends becomes essential—seeking reassurance that weather conditions will ease the physical demands of fasting and nightly worship.

Amid a global climate landscape increasingly defined by volatility and surprise, and under what has been described as an “exceptional winter” marked by unusually dry conditions and early warm spells, key questions arise: Will Ramadan be accompanied by familiar winter coolness, or will climate change introduce sudden heat waves?

To provide clarity, we turned to officials at the Egyptian Meteorological Authority for verified insights directly from the Forecasting Center.

In this comprehensive discussion, we explore expected weather patterns, examine the broader impact of global warming on Ramadan’s climate in recent years, and outline preventive guidance to help ensure safe fasting conditions.

—Q: What are the general weather features expected during the first days of Ramadan?

Following the recent noticeable rise in temperatures, a gradual and perceptible decline is expected to begin early next week.

With the onset of Ramadan, maximum temperatures in Greater Cairo are projected to stabilize in the low twenties, ranging between 21°C and 23°C.Daytime conditions will be moderate to slightly warm with abundant sunshine—favorable for fasting.

However, nighttime temperatures are expected to drop significantly, with minimums ranging between 10°C and 12°C, and potentially lower in newly developed urban areas.

As a result, late-night and early-morning hours will retain distinctly wintry characteristics.

—Q: Do forecasts indicate any harmful heat waves or disruptive weather conditions that may surprise those fasting?

Current projections suggest that most days throughout the month will see temperatures below 25°C. Even if slight increases occur on certain days, they are not expected to reach harmful levels.

Low humidity levels play a key role; dry air reduces the sensation of heat compared to humid summer conditions.

Additionally, the second half of Ramadan may experience slightly cooler conditions than the first half, contributing to an overall stable and comfortable atmosphere.

–Q: How do humidity and temperature affect physical endurance during fasting, and are we safe from such risks this year?

High humidity significantly increases discomfort during fasting because it inhibits sweat evaporation and traps body heat, leading to heightened thirst and fatigue.

This year, with Ramadan occurring during the winter season, the atmosphere is characterized by dry air, which substantially reduces heat-related stress compared to previous years when Ramadan coincided with hot and humid summer months.

–Q: Which groups are most vulnerable to these weather conditions, and what precautions are recommended?

Children, the elderly, individuals with chronic conditions such as diabetes and hypertension, and those suffering from allergies or sinus problems are particularly vulnerable.Temperature variations between day and night pose the greatest risk.

It is strongly advised not to reduce clothing excessively during warm daytime hours, as sharp nighttime temperature drops may lead to severe colds. Additionally, potential dust activity could exacerbate respiratory conditions.

—Q: What are the key preventive recommendations for coping with possible weather fluctuations?

Recommended precautions include:

Maintaining adequate hydration between iftar and suhoor.

Avoiding direct exposure to midday sunlight and remaining in well-ventilated spaces.

Wearing protective masks for allergy sufferers during windy conditions.

Continuing to wear appropriate winter clothing in the evening despite daytime warmth.

Q: Are dust storms expected during Ramadan, and how should the public prepare?

Dust activity remains possible. The current winter season has been marked by dryness and limited rainfall, leaving desert soil loose and easily disturbed. Any significant increase in wind speed could result in dust and sand being carried into populated areas.

Preparation involves closely monitoring daily weather bulletins, exercising caution while driving—especially on highways—and avoiding proximity to unstable structures such as lighting poles, trees, and aging billboards during periods of strong winds.

Q: To what extent has climate change altered Ramadan’s weather compared to the past?

Climate change and global warming have blurred seasonal boundaries. It is no longer unusual to observe spring- or summer-like conditions during winter months.

Whereas Ramadan was once associated with cold, rainy winter weather, it now tends to reflect moderate yet fluctuating patterns, shifting between temperature rises and drops.

Globally, extreme and exceptional weather phenomena are becoming more frequent. Some North African countries are experiencing floods after prolonged droughts, while others face rainfall scarcity—both outcomes linked to broader patterns of global warming.

–Q: What are the best times for daily activities during Ramadan?

Given the absence of extreme heat, routine activities can generally be carried out throughout the day with reasonable precautions.

Nevertheless, the period between iftar and suhoor remains ideal for outdoor outings due to cooler and more refreshing conditions. Early morning hours are also particularly pleasant.

–Q: In the event of a sudden heat wave, what urgent measures should be taken to avoid heat exhaustion?

Although severe heat waves are not currently anticipated, preparedness is essential. In the event of unexpected temperature increases:

Avoid direct sunlight and use head coverings such as caps or umbrellas.Limit strenuous physical activities during fasting hours.Increase fluid intake during non-fasting hours.

Most importantly, follow official bulletins from the Egyptian Meteorological Authority to remain informed about any sudden atmospheric developments.

As Ramadan approaches, current forecasts point toward generally moderate and manageable conditions.

Continued awareness and adherence to official updates will ensure a safe and comfortable fasting experience for all.